Here’s How Rising Gas Prices and Inflation Fuel Each Other

When you read the news these days, you probably see a lot of doomsday stories about gas prices.

And it's no wonder — gas prices have recently hit record levels in Europe and the U.S., making us all feel ripped off every time we get to the gas station.

For example, in the U.S., a gallon of diesel is now selling for an average of $5.19, up from $3.61 in January. Meanwhile, in Germany, the price has shot up to around 2.15 euros a liter, from €1.66 at the end of February.

A worrying price increase which clearly signals that inflation, already high, might go higher still.

In this article we explain:

  • What pushes gas prices up.
  • How much higher gas prices affect inflation.

Why are gas prices spiking?

Well, for the most part, three major issues are to blame for today’s stratospheric gas prices:

  • Covid-19 pandemic (duh!)
  • Cuts to oil production
  • The war in Ukraine

Let’s look at each of them in more detail.

Covid-19 pandemic messed up the global oil market

Soaring gas prices certainly have their root in the COVID-19 pandemic.

Here’s why:

  • When the pandemic first hit the world, demand for gas dropped as people chose to shelter at home during nationwide lockdowns. For example, a typical driver in the U.S. cut their driving in half when the pandemic started, according to AAA (American Automobile Association). As a result, such a sharp decline in demand caused gas prices to plunge.
  • But as the global economy recovered and vaccines rolled out, making us all feel safer about traveling and shopping, people resumed driving. Naturally, with demand rising, gas prices also started to move upwards.
  • But now we’re left with oil demand significantly outstripping its supply, and it looks like there’s little promise of relief in the near future.

Cuts to oil production make gas prices stay high

When demand for gas and oil dropped during the pandemic, OPEC and other oil-producing countries such as Russia started reducing their oil production.

They slashed it by an unprecedented 10 million barrels, which makes up about 10% of the global supply. And as we know, a decline in production decreases overall supply, pushing the price of oil up.

Ban on Russian oil will most likely make the gas price situation much worse

Russia is the world’s third-biggest oil and gas producer, and any disruptions will have a major impact on prices — disruptions we’re seeing today:

The price of oil on international markets surged above $100 a barrel for the first time since 2014 because Russia’s invasion of Ukraine snarled resource exports from the region.

The decision of some Western nations to ban Russian oil caused another spike in prices, with some analysts warning that, in the worst-case scenario, oil prices could hit $200.

Meanwhile, Russia warned that $300 oil prices could be on the way, depending on what Europe and the U.S. will do with sanctions.

And while it will certainly have other major effects on the global economy, it also means one thing:

There’s little hope that high global inflation is going to slow down any time soon.

What will high oil prices do to inflation?

To put it shortly, the surge in gas prices is going to keep inflation higher for longer than expected, simply because high gas prices are one of the major factors driving inflation.

What is the relationship between inflation and gas prices?

Higher oil prices directly contribute to inflation, which means that a very significant rise in oil prices (which is the case today) will feed through into higher inflation.

For example, since crude oil is a key ingredient in petrochemicals used to make plastic, pricier oil will affect the prices of some products made with plastic.

What are analysts predicting?

  • Joe Brusuelas, Chief Economist at accounting and consulting firm RSM, says the war in Ukraine could push inflation to 10% year over year, with gas prices among the biggest contributors.
  • Alan Detmeister, an economist at UBS, thinks that oil at $120 per barrel could mean U.S. inflation hitting 9% in the coming months.

And, as a rule of thumb, every $10 per barrel increase in the oil price raises inflation by 0.2% and sets back economic growth 0.1%. At least that’s what Fed chair Jerome Powell has said.

But if sky-high gas prices persist, they could significantly impact U.S. and E.U. economies, leading to weakening consumer demand for all types of products.

Simply because people will try to tighten their belts to offset higher prices for their daily commutes.

When will gas prices go down?

As Alan Detmeister puts it, “It becomes a question of: How long do oil prices, natural gas wholesale prices stay elevated? That’s anybody’s guess.”

But many analysts predict they are going to stay elevated at least during the summer.

And the potential impact is so great that we are seeing a growing number of forecasts for recession and stagflation (a period when slow economic growth coincides with rising inflation) in Europe and the U.S.

For example, Goldman Sachs sees a 35% risk of recession in the U.S. in 2022, up from just 10% last year. Meanwhile, former European Central Bank official, Otmar Issing, has warned that stagflation is now “the biggest risk” facing the global economy.

What can you do right now to deal with higher gas prices and inflation?

If the forecasts for stagflation and recession are true, and if you want to be prepared for whatever the future has in store, there are a few things you could do right now:

  • For starters, you can change your driving habits that cause you to keep going to the gas station, and therefore spending more money.
  • Plan when you get fill-ups by following gas prices and avoiding the rising prices whenever possible.
  • Set aside some money in your rainy day a.k.a emergency fund (if you haven’t done so already).
  • Start saving in gold, a traditional hedge against inflation which holds its value when the economy goes down and inflation concerns increase.

As for us, we’ll keep our finger on the pulse of inflation and gas prices to see how they can affect your investments and precious metals savings in the future.

爱“阅”之城,书香润泽


图①:北京钟书阁融科店。(摄影:本报记者 伊霄)图②:北京红楼公共藏书楼内,读者在专心读书。(摄影:本报记者 张武军)

  核心阅读

  可买书看书,可观影听歌,可学习休闲……在北京,实体书店正在转变为新型公共文化空间,努力走出一条转型升级、创新发展之路。为推动实体书店行业发展,北京出台系列扶持政策,探索多元化发展,满足人们丰富文化需求的同时,也让书店成为城市中一道亮丽的风景线。

  中国书店雁翅楼店,读者在聚精会神地看着中轴线老照片展;全民畅读书店,一个创业团队正热烈讨论着设计方案;三联韬奋书店,读者在夜灯旁静享阅读时光……

  这是北京,一座被阅读浸润的城市。

  政策支持

  促进行业回暖

  “我很幸运,接连赶上好政策。”北京外研书店总经理付帅说。2013年底,国家出台政策,免征图书批发零售增值税。2016年6月,中宣部等11个部委联合印发了《关于支持实体书店发展的指导意见》。之后,外研书店每年都获得北京市实体书店扶持资金。

  房租补贴、特色书店奖励、示范书店评选、经营管理人员培训、推动书店进驻外卖平台……2019年以来,北京市进一步加大扶持力度,市区两级财政先后投入数亿元,多管齐下,为实体书店纾困解难。

  雍和书庭创办人彭明榜体会深刻。雍和书庭开业之初正逢疫情防控时期,受益于扶持政策,两年来没有裁员减薪,还被评为“2020年度社区书店”。中信书店在北京有18家店,其中10余家获得扶持。“不只是资金扶持,更重要的是政策、方向的引导,这对于书店的长远发展至关重要。”中信书店副总经理刘旻认为。

  “扶持政策效果明显,实体书店的营商环境大为改善,面貌发生很大变化,正从传统卖场向公共文化空间转型。”北京智信文化产业研究院理事长刘明清说。

  受政策利好影响,上海三联、建投书局、钟书阁等一批书店纷纷落户北京,先后开办30多个门店。2019年6月,钟书阁在北京的第一家店开业,第四家店预计今年内落户大兴。“我们希望用设计美引来读者,用内容美让读者坐下来,用服务美使读者留下来。”钟书阁北京地区负责人向爱群说。

  “实体书店回暖,得益于政府部门对实体书店的政策扶持,也得益于阅读氛围的活跃。”北京市委宣传部工作人员介绍。2011年,北京开展全民阅读活动,至今已持续12年,成为公众普遍参与、贯穿全年的一项文化活动。2020年,北京被中国书刊发行业协会评为“年度书店之都”。

  2021年,北京开展各类特色阅读活动3万余场,影响和覆盖人群达2000万人次以上。2021年底,北京实体书店数量增至2076家,在全国位列第一,完成万人拥有0.8个实体书店建设任务,“一区一书城”成为标配,超过1000平方米的综合书城达到47家,其中5000平方米以上的特大型综合书城7家。

  聚焦主业

  提升图书品质

  图书销售是实体书店的主业。“我们要把书店最好的位置留给图书。”王府井书店党总支书记、董事长李柏林说。目前,王府井书店总销售额近八成来自图书,每年服务近300万名读者,至今仍是首都累计图书销量、服务读者时间和数量均位居第一位的书店。选品上,书店改变了以往全品类进书的做法,由专业人员专门负责,提升在架图书质量。作为国内首家会员制女性书店,雨枫书馆成立了由会员组成的选书委员会,定期淘汰一批“长时间、多人次”认定的差书。

  为促进实体书店发展主业,提升精细化管理水平,北京市委宣传部组织专家学者用一年多时间持续开展实体书店示范标准体系建设调研。在此基础上,2021年,北京首次将实体书店扶持政策门槛明确:以经营出版物为主营业务,持续经营满1年的实体书店;实体书店经营面积不少于30平方米,出版物经营面积超过50%;上架经营出版物不少于2000册,品种不少于500种。按照这一标准,北京首次评选了99家年度示范书店。今年1月,北京市对实体书店开展阅读文化活动提出“四个明确”的规范要求,聚焦主题方向、类型形式、资料留存、群众参与等方面,提升扶持项目管理标准化水平。

  “图书是书店的灵魂,选品的质量决定了书店的发展。书店在数量上竞争不过电商,只有在图书品质及服务上下功夫才可能赢得读者。”中国数字出版博览会副秘书长刘亚军表示。

  在满足读者需求方面,实体书店也下足了功夫。

  家里没地方放书——外研书店东升科技园店推出365元借阅年卡,雨枫书馆推出会员制,王府井书店与北京市东城区图书馆联合创办的“王府井图书馆”,让读者在书店既能购书又能借书。不知如何选书——北京图书大厦联合专家学者推出了“学习书单”“北京发行集团专家选书团好书推荐”等多个推荐书单。没时间逛书店——各社区书店让读者在家门口就可以读到好书。

  “实体书店是一项重要的公共文化基础设施,要更好融入百姓生活,满足人们的文化需求,塑造首都的精神气质。”北京市西城区图书馆管理协会会长郭斌说。

  跨界融合

  转型文化空间

  童书借阅区配备适合亲子共读的小圆桌,共享书房内年轻人正专注学习……升级改造后的北京图书大厦更美了,服务也更贴心了。“书店不仅仅是购书的场所,还是一座城市的文化会客厅。我们努力提供丰富的文化产品,不仅满足读者的需求,也是书店高质量发展的需要。”北京图书大厦副总经理秦辉说。

  “实体书店不能一直靠政府补贴生存,必须切实增强服务读者、服务社会的意识和能力,走出一条社会效益和经济效益双赢之路。”北京市委宣传部工作人员表示。以特色书店、最美书店、示范书店评选为导向,北京大力推动发展“书店+”,鼓励书店孵化新业务、新场景,初步形成“馆店结合”“厂店结合”“书店+课堂”“书店+文旅”“书店+戏剧”等特色模式。

  有颜值,更要有内涵。北京实体书店正努力走出一条转型发展之路。

  理念创新是关键。作为一家诗歌主题书店,小众书坊既是一家书店,也自主策划出版图书;既有实体店,也经营网店和自媒体;既举办专业活动,也服务周边社区。“随着阅读习惯的改变,实体书店销售图书的功能将弱化,而作为一个区域的文化交流空间和终身学习场所的功能将强化。”彭明榜说。

  文化活动是标配。外研书店近年来举办了600余场形式多样的学术文化和亲子阅读活动,打造了“国际诗歌之夜”“研妈妈绘本故事”等品牌活动。

  融合发展是趋势。可买书看书,可品茗会友,可观影听歌,可写字作画,可学习休闲……在北京,这些跨界的实体书店日益受到青睐。

  情感交流是根基。“伴着轻音乐,静静地看书、思考,内心平静安宁”……翻看读者留言,能真切感受到实体书店对于读者的意义。

  “北京将充分发掘实体书店作为城市公共阅读设施的文化资源禀赋,进一步推动首都实体书店转型升级、创新发展,打造更优质的阅读产品、空间服务和活动体系,为广大读者做好服务,为书香北京增添一份力量。”北京市委宣传部一级巡视员王野霏表示。


责任编辑:胡梦音

Keyword: 美丽中华网

Excel中自动保存的文件在哪里

本教程适用版本:WPS 365 点击免费使用

在办公中,我们经常用到Excel表格,因为用过的朋友都知道,它有很多的功能能让我们的工作更加轻松,那么Excel中自动保存的文件在哪里呢?如果不知道,一起来看看这篇文章吧!

首先我们先创建一个表格的空白文档,如下图所示:

>>免费升级到企业版,赠超大存储空间

然后我们在表格内编辑好内容,如下图所示:

>>免费升级到企业版,赠超大存储空间

这个时候我们就可以保存了,点击保存,在对话框中点击是:

>>免费升级到企业版,赠超大存储空间

然后在弹出的窗口中我们就可以发现它的保存路径了。我么也可以根据自己的需要设置它的位置,如下图所示:

>>免费升级到企业版,赠超大存储空间

今天交给大家小技巧你学会了吗?赶紧操作起来吧!

Keyword: wps官网

100% Polyester Two Ply Sherpa Fleece Lining Blanket Anti-Pillin

Overview

Basic Info.

Model NO.
RB021

Material
100% Polyester, Polyester

Age Group
Adults, All The People

Feature
Anti-Pilling, Portable, Wearable, Anti-Static, Blackout, Flame Retardant, Fluorescen

Type
Chemical Fibre Blanket

Knitting Method
Stitch Knitting

Pattern
Yarn Dyed

Usage
Home, Travel

Supply Type
Make-to-Order

Technics
Woven

Use
Bedding, Travel, Home

Weight
250-350GSM

Sample Time
7-10 Days for Customize

Colors
Any

Grade
Quality

Transport Package
Cartons

Specification
100% Polyester

Origin
China

HS Code
63014000

Production Capacity
2500*40hq/Year

Packaging & Delivery

Package Size
45.00cm * 40.00cm * 7.00cm

Package Gross Weight
0.700kg

Product Description

Product Description

China Factory 100% Polyester Two Ply Sherpa Fleece Lining Blanket Anti-Pilling Sofa Throw

Item No: RB061 Description: Two Ply Sherpa fleece lining blanket Material: 100% Polyester Size: 127 X152cm,or customized Weight: 200-350GSM Style: Printing Colors: any printing withdrawing Workmanship: Anti-pilling and printed. Package: Roll packing with PVC Bands/PP Bag insert card ribbon customized sample also available Sample time: 1-3 days for available color,7-10 days for customized MOQ: 1000 PCS/Color Delivery time: 30-45 days Payment term: T/T D/P at sight, L/C, etc. FOB Port: Shanghai/Ningbo Certificate: BSCI,ISO 9000,OEKO,SGS/BV,INTERTEK TEST

Detailed Photos

Company Profile

FAQ

Q:How to make an order?

A:a,Sample and quotation approval

   b,Client make deposit or open L/C after receiving PI

   c,Client approve our PP sample

   d,Inspection by customer if necessary or ourselves reports

   e,Client effect balance payment

   f,Arrange shipment

   g,Supplier arrange necessary documents(INV,PLBL,Certificate of origin,etc…

   h,Quality warranty for 60 days after shipment

Q:Do you have any stock of fleece blankets?

A:Sorry,we are OEM order factory,we usually making to fresh order,but may have some excess or cancelled quantity.Please emall us the details to check.

Q:Can I get the fleece blanekt sample,how long is the time?

A:Yes,standard samples are free and need about 1-3 days.Customized samples need to charge sample fee,need about 1 week time.We will return back upon the first order.

Q:OEM or ODM?

A:We could provide both OEM and ODM service,we have our designers and research team.

Q:Payment term,lead time,MOQ,method of transport,port?

A:Payment term:Benk T/T,L/C,West Union,Paypal,O/A

   Lead time:30-60 days after payment

   MOQ:1000pcs/color (small size),3000pcs one time shipment

             500pcs/color (mid or large size),3000pcs one time shipment

   Method or transport:SEA(LCL or FCL),AIR,EXPRESS,TRAIN,etc

   Port:Shanghai or Ningbo,China

Q:Could you send us all you catalogue with price list?

A:Yes,we can send our catalogue with price list,but not all items,since there are too many items here.

 

重塑经典:ATV版《精武门》观后感,甄子丹演绎重现!高清珍藏版Mytvsuper国粤双语

作为十年影视博主,我一直对各种不同版本的影视作品保持着高度的关注和期待。近期,我有幸观看了ATV推出的《精武门》剧集,该剧由甄子丹领衔主演,成为了我心中一次意外的惊喜之旅。

首先,我要赞扬这部剧的制作团队对于经典IP的敬畏之心。《精武门》这一经典武侠故事在影视作品中屡见不鲜,但ATV版的《精武门》却不拘泥于前人的表现形式,而是敢于进行创新和改编。该剧将故事背景设定在民国时期,紧扣着传统武侠精神,同时注入了更多现代观众所喜爱的元素,使得整个剧集更具时代感和可看性。

甄子丹作为主演的选择无疑是一大亮点。他不仅在武打场面中展现了出色的功夫,更是通过精湛的演技为角色赋予了深厚的内涵。他饰演的主角不再是单纯的武林高手,而是一个内心矛盾、经历起伏的人物,这种角色的塑造让整个故事更加生动有趣,也更加引人入胜。

除了甄子丹之外,该剧的整体演员阵容也是亮点之一。每个角色都被赋予了独特的性格和命运,他们之间的关系错综复杂,引人深思。尤其是对于男女主角之间的情感线,剧情处理得恰到好处,既不过于浓烈,又不失真实感。

在制作方面,《精武门》也可圈可点。精心打造的场景布景、精良的服装道具,以及流畅自然的剧情叙述,无不展现出制作团队的用心和实力。尤其是在动作场面的设计和呈现上,更是让人目不转睛,仿佛置身于一场场精彩绝伦的武打大戏之中。

然而,我也不得不承认,ATV版《精武门》在某些方面还存在一些不足之处。例如,在部分剧情转折上显得有些匆忙,有些角色的命运安排也显得有些仓促。这些问题虽然不影响整体观感,但仍然值得后续剧集在制作上更加用心对待。

总的来说,ATV版《精武门》无疑是一部精彩的影视作品,它不仅将经典IP进行了成功的重塑,更为现代观众呈现了一场精彩绝伦的武侠之旅。我相信,这部剧将会在观众心中留下深刻的印记,成为经典中的经典。

ATV精武门 观看直达

Keyword: 热门电影

Toddler Panda Pajamas

You’ll love falling in love with your baby wearing this adorable toddler panda pajamas. It’s perfect for the fall/winter season.

When it’s cold season, make the choice to dress your child in this beautiful Toddler Panda Pajamas . It features a beautiful hood with a panda head print and little black ears. 

The interior is comfortable and cozy so your baby will feel perfectly comfortable and warm. What a pleasure to see your child happy and dressed up at the same time in a too cute suit!

• Quality cotton
• Polyester with extra long fibers
• Long sleeves
• Zipper closure
• Fleece hood
• Resistant to wear and tear
• For girls and boys
• Machine washable at 90°F
• Do not bleach
• Use the tumble dryer at low temperature
• Standard delivery FREE

Expo Novias en Boda 2020

Expo Novias en Boda: the trade show

Event profile Expo Novias en Boda

  • Industries: Event organization, Party, Fashion, Tourism, Wedding, Decoration
  • Frequency: anual
  • Scope: Nacional

Next edition Expo Novias en Boda

  • From Saturday 21 to Sunday 22 March 2020
  • Venue:
    Hotel Riu Plaza Panamá
  • City:
  • More info.: noviasenboda.com

Expo Novias en Boda editions

Expo Novias en Boda 2019 From 23 to 24 March 2019 Hotel RIU Plaza Panamá
Expo Novias en Boda 2018 From 10 to 11 March 2018 Hotel RIU Plaza Panamá
Expo Novias en Boda 2017 From 18 to 19 March 2017 Hotel Riu Plaza

Photos Expo Novias en Boda

Panda Tote Bag

No more room to store your stuff lying around? Take advantage of a panda tote bag to hold everything you need.

Dive into a dream with panda face handbag or discover other panda handbags to store your stuff, or other panda bags. For exemple: This panda holding a moon-shaped balloon is intriguing… With this pattern, you have a cute and original bag!

• For women
• Materials: linen
• Without zip
• 2 Sizes available
• 16 Patterns

Creativa Zaragoza 2020

Creativa Zaragoza: the trade show

Painting, furniture restoration, sewing, floral decoration, creative cooking and, in general, any type of arts and crafts activity are represented at Creativa, an event that also takes place in other cities in Spain such as Barcelona and Valladolid.

In addition to workshops and courses this show presents a large selection of products and services for these hobbies and activities.

Event profile Creativa Zaragoza

  • Industries: Fashion
  • Frequency: anual
  • Scope: Nacional

Next edition Creativa Zaragoza

  • From Friday 7 to Sunday 9 February 2020
  • Venue:
    Auditorio de Zaragoza
  • City: Zaragoza
  • Country: Spain
  • More info.: zaragoza.creativa.eu

Creativa Zaragoza editions

Creativa Zaragoza 2020 From 7 to 9 February 2020 Auditorio de Zaragoza
Creativa Zaragoza 2018 From 4 to 6 May 2018 Feria de Zaragoza
Creativa Zaragoza 2017 From 10 to 12 February 2017 Feria de Zaragoza
Creativa Zaragoza 2016 From 12 to 14 February 2016 Feria de Zaragoza