Month: March 2019

Get “Heaven South” instantly when you pre-order Brad Paisley’s new album, LOVE AND WAR, available 4/21.

Foreclosure filings — default notices, scheduled auctions and bank repossessions — were reported on 676,535 U.S. properties in 2017, down 27 percent from 2016 and down 76 percent from a peak of nearly 2.9 million in 2010 to the lowest level since 2005, according to ATTOM a national property database. The U.S. foreclosure rate in 2017 was 0.51 percent of housing units with a foreclosure filing, also a 12-year low.

“Thanks to a housing boom driven primarily by a scarcity of supply, which has helped to limit home purchases to the most highly qualified — and low-risk — borrowers, the U.S. housing market has the luxury of playing a version of foreclosure limbo in which it searches for how low foreclosures can go,” said Daren Blomquist, senior vice president at ATTOM Data Solutions.

Foreclosure starts at new record low nationwide, increase in DC and five states

Lenders started the foreclosure process on 383,701 U.S. properties in 2017, down 20 percent from 2016 to a new all-time low going back as far as foreclosure start data is available — 2006.

“Across Southern California, while foreclosures have maintained historically low levels during much of 2017, housing affordability has become the concern that has many watching the market for a potential shift in the near future,” said Michael Mahon, president of First Team Real Estate, covering the Southern California market, which also posted an 11-year low in foreclosure starts in 2017. “With wage growth not meeting equity growth across many Southern California markets — coupled with rising interest rates — there are some concerns that foreclosures could be on the rise in 2018.”

Counter to the national trend, the District of Columbia and five states posted year-over-year increases in foreclosure starts in 2017, including Illinois (up 2 percent); Oklahoma (up 23 percent); Louisiana (up 2 percent); DC (up 54 percent); West Virginia (up 32 percent); and Vermont (up 27 percent).

New York foreclosure auctions at 11-year high, counter to 11-year low nationwide

A total of 318,165 U.S. properties were scheduled for public foreclosure auction (the same as a foreclosure start in some states) in 2017, down 27 percent from 2016 to a new all-time low going back as far as foreclosure auction data is available — 2006.

“The data for the Seattle market tells a very big story, and that is we are not seeing a housing bubble forming,” said Matthew Gardner, chief economist at Windermere Real Estate, covering the Seattle market, where scheduled foreclosure auctions in 2017 dropped 47 percent to an 11-year low. “With foreclosure rates at less than 0.4 percent of total housing units, the market is remarkably stable.  That said, we are certainly suffering from serious affordability issues, but this is not translating into defaults on loans.”

The District of Columbia and seven states posted a year-over-year increase in scheduled foreclosure auctions in 2017, including New York (up 9 percent to the highest level since 2006); Oklahoma (up 4 percent); Connecticut (up 7 percent); and Maine (up 2 percent).

New Jersey bank repossessions at 11-year high, counter to 11-year low nationwide

Lenders repossessed 291,579 properties through foreclosure (REO) in 2017, down 23 percent from 2016 to the lowest level since 2006 — an 11-year low.

Counter to the national trend, the District of Columbia and seven states posted a year-over-year increase in REOs in 2017, led by New Jersey (19 percent increase to the highest level since 2006); Delaware (up 16 percent); Montana (up 12 percent); DC (up 10 percent); and Wyoming (up 10 percent).

Top foreclosure rates in 2017

States with the highest foreclosure rates in 2017 were New Jersey (1.61 percent of housing units with a foreclosure filing); Delaware (1.13 percent) and Maryland (0.95 percent).

Average time to foreclose jumps above 1,000 days nationwide

U.S. properties foreclosed in the fourth quarter of 2017 had been in the foreclosure process an average of 1,027 days, a 14 percent jump from the previous quarter and a 28 percent increase from a year ago.

In a strong foreign policy speech, Mitt Romney reminded Jews that they have a friend in the United States.

“It is a deeply moving experience to be in Jerusalem, the capital of Israel.
Our two nations are separated by more than 5,000 miles. But for an American abroad, you can’t get much closer to the ideals and convictions of my own country than you do in Israel. We’re part of the great fellowship of democracies. We speak the same language of freedom and justice, and the right of every person to live in peace. We serve the same cause and provoke the same hatreds in the same enemies of civilization.
It is my firm conviction that the security of Israel is in the vital national security interest of the United States. And ours is an alliance based not only on shared interests but also on enduring shared values.”

Romney’s speech honored the past tragedies that are memorialized on Tisha B’Av and he looked forward reminding Israel that the United States stands with them as allies against countries like Iran.

“We have seen the horrors of history. We will not stand by. We will not watch them play out again.”

At a time when the current U.S. administration’s attitude toward Israel is tepid at best and when Press Secretary Carney is unable to acknowledge Israel’s chosen capital this speech by Romney is refreshingly clear.

 
Watch the latest video at video.foxnews.com
 
You can read the text of Romney’s speech here.

Sequels took the top two spots in comScore’s U.S. and global weekend box office rankings as Maze Runner: The Death Cure and Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle topped the list.

“Fox’s ‘Maze Runner: The Death Cure’ takes over the top spot on the global chart this weekend with an $86.1 million worldwide debut,” comScore’s Senior Media Analyst Paul Dergarabedian said, “The film is followed in the second spot by ‘Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle’ which has now become Sony’s fifth highest grossing film of all-time with an incredible $822 million worldwide total to date.”

Hostiles and musically-themed Greatest Showman took 3rd and 4th in U.S. ticket sales and Star Wars: The Last Jedi still appears in the rankings having pulled in $9 million for the weekend and $1.31 billion since its premiere.

The top 12 worldwide weekend box office estimates, listed in descending order, per data collected as of Sunday, January 28, are below.

1. Maze Runner: The Death Cure – 20th Century Fox – $86.1M
2. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle – Sony – $34.1M
3. Greatest Showman, The – 20th Century Fox – $19.6M
4. Secret Superstar – Huaxia Film Distribution Co.,Ltd – $19.0M
5. Post, The – Multiple – $18.2M
6. Coco – Disney – $15.1M
7. Commuter, The – Multiple – $14.5M
8. Darkest Hour – Universal – $12.5M
9. Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri – 20th Century Fox – $12.2M
10. Ferdinand – 20th Century Fox – $12.2M
11. Forever Young – China Film Group Corporation – $11.8M
12. Insidious: The Last Key – Sony – $10.7M

The top 12 domestic weekend box office estimates, listed in descending order, per data collected as of Sunday, January 28, are below.

1. Maze Runner: The Death Cure – 20th Century Fox – $23.5M
2. Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle – Sony – $16.4M
3. Hostiles – Entertainment Studios Motion Pictures – $10.2M
4. Greatest Showman, The – 20th Century Fox – $9.5M
5. Post, The – 20th Century Fox – $8.8M
6. 12 Strong – Warner Bros. – $8.6M
7. Den Of Thieves – STX Entertainment – $8.4M
8. Shape Of Water, The – Fox Searchlight – $5.7M
9. Paddington 2 – Warner Bros. – $5.6M
10. Star Wars: The Last Jedi – Disney – $4.2M
11. Padmaavat – Viva Entertainment – $4.1M
12. Forever My Girl – Roadside Attractions – $3.7M

Full details regarding the global domestic and international box office results are listed in the table below.

	Weekend BO Estimate (USD)	Weekend Release Cume (USD)	Distributor
Title	Worldwide	Int’l	Domestic	Worldwide	Int’l	Domestic	Int’l	No. of Terr.*	Domestic
Maze Runner: The Death Cure	86,100,000	62,600,000	23,500,000	105,500,000	82,000,000	23,500,000	FOX	71	FOX
Jumanji: Welcome To The Jungle	34,100,000	17,700,000	16,400,000	822,057,203	484,000,000	338,057,203	SNY	93	SNY
Greatest Showman, The	19,600,000	10,100,000	9,500,000	259,475,232	133,000,000	126,475,232	FOX	46	FOX
Secret Superstar	19,000,000	19,000,000	–	68,465,526	67,475,000	990,526	HUAX	1	ZEE
Post, The	18,250,000	9,400,000	8,850,000	80,610,923	22,075,000	58,535,923	MUL	20	FOX
Coco	15,086,000	13,600,000	1,486,000	680,553,237	477,800,000	202,753,237	DIS	35	DIS
Commuter, The	14,525,000	11,075,000	3,450,000	66,087,189	34,660,000	31,427,189	MUL	37	LGF
Darkest Hour	12,485,000	9,600,000	2,885,000	98,297,407	53,100,000	45,197,407	UNI	51	FOC
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri	12,200,000	8,600,000	3,600,000	71,310,951	34,300,000	37,010,951	FOX	30	FSL
Ferdinand	12,150,000	11,200,000	950,000	255,480,854	175,000,000	80,480,854	FOX	46	FOX
Forever Young	11,815,000	11,815,000	–	95,820,000	95,820,000	–	CHINA	1	–
Insidious: The Last Key	10,715,000	7,500,000	3,215,000	144,575,300	81,100,000	63,475,300	SNY	54	UNI
12 Strong	10,535,000	1,900,000	8,635,000	35,159,610	5,400,000	29,759,610	LGF	29	WB
Wonder	10,330,000	9,900,000	430,000	265,762,440	135,200,000	130,562,440	LGF	62	LGF
Hostiles	10,205,000	–	10,205,000	12,052,795	–	12,052,795	–	1	ESMP
Padmaavat	9,211,000	5,140,000	4,071,000	9,718,000	5,140,000	4,578,000	MUL	13	VIVE
Den Of Thieves	9,206,000	846,000	8,360,000	31,302,445	2,800,000	28,502,445	STX	17	STX
Star Wars: The Last Jedi	8,984,000	4,800,000	4,184,000	1,311,425,821	700,700,000	610,725,821	DIS	38	DIS
Shape Of Water, The	8,900,000	3,200,000	5,700,000	51,578,745	13,900,000	37,678,745	FOX	11	FSL
Paddington 2	7,885,000	2,315,000	5,570,000	181,410,416	149,390,000	32,020,416	MUL	19	WB
That’s Only My World	5,975,000	5,975,000	–	13,020,000	13,020,000	–	CJE	1	–
I, Tonya	4,969,280	2,000,000	2,969,280	20,924,025	2,080,000	18,844,025	–	6	NEONR
MET Opera: Tosca (2018)	4,275,000	2,275,000	2,000,000	4,275,000	2,275,000	2,000,000	MUL	6	FTHM
Forever My Girl	3,706,991	–	3,706,991	9,266,150	–	9,266,150	–	1	RdAtt
Going Vertical	3,265,000	3,265,000	–	45,100,000	45,100,000	–	MUL	2	–

*Territory is a movie studio term for regions of the world consisting of various countries.

Economic activity in the manufacturing sector expanded in September along with the overall economy, say the nation’s supply executives in the latest ISM Manufacturing report.

The report was issued today by Timothy R. Fiore, CPSM, C.P.M., Chair of the Institute for Supply Management^® (ISM^®) Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “The September PMI^® registered 59.8 percent, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points from the August reading of 61.3 percent. The New Orders Index registered 61.8 percent, a decrease of 3.3 percentage points from the August reading of 65.1 percent. The Production Index registered 63.9 percent, a 0.6 percentage point increase compared to the August reading of 63.3 percent. The Employment Index registered 58.8 percent, an increase of 0.3 percentage point from the August reading of 58.5 percent. The Supplier Deliveries Index registered 61.1 percent, a 3.4-percentage point decrease from the August reading of 64.5 percent. The Inventories Index registered 53.3 percent, a decrease of 2.1 percentage points from the August reading of 55.4 percent. The Prices Index registered 66.9 percent in September, a 5.2-percentage point decrease from the August reading of 72.1 percent, indicating higher raw materials prices for the 31st consecutive month.

“Comments from the panel reflect continued expanding business strength. Demand remains strong, with the New Orders Index at 60 percent or above for the 17th straight month, and the Customers’ Inventories Index remaining low. The Backlog of Orders Index continued to expand, but at lower levels compared to the previous month. Consumption improved, with production and employment continuing to expand, at higher levels compared to August, despite shortages in labor and materials. Inputs— expressed as supplier deliveries (decreased), inventories and imports — improved compared to prior month’s activity. But continued supply chain inefficiencies led to an increased consumption of inventory and a slight expansion of imports, which adequately supported production output.  Lead-time extensions, steel and aluminum disruptions, supplier labor issues, and transportation difficulties continue to limit potential, but at more manageable levels.

“Export orders expanded, but four major industries are no longer contributing. Price pressure continues, but the index softened for the fourth straight month and dropped below 70 for the first time since December 2017. Demand remains robust, but employment resources and supply chains continue to struggle, but to a lesser degree. Respondents are again overwhelmingly concerned about tariff-related activity, including how reciprocal tariffs will impact company revenue and current manufacturing locations,” says Fiore.

Of the 18 manufacturing industries, 15 reported growth in September, in the following order: Textile Mills; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Machinery; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Paper Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Chemical Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Transportation Equipment; Furniture & Related Products; Fabricated Metal Products; and Nonmetallic Mineral Products. The only industry reporting contraction in September is Primary Metals.

WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING

• “Business is strong and relatively stable. Tariffs are putting pressure on Chinese imports. Labor rates are increasing as it is very difficult to find help.” (Furniture & Related Products)
• “The economy’s strength is holding, [and] outlook for the industry is positive, although continuing margin compression in consumer packaged goods is restricting general growth momentum from the greater economy.” (Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products)
• “Still extremely strong through November; starting to see a decline for steel prices for December.” (Fabricated Metal Products)
• “General available capacity at suppliers continues to decrease, creating supply issues.” (Machinery)
• “Tariffs are creating a drag on some of our export opportunities.” (Plastics & Rubber Products)
• “Sourcing hourly workers for remote locations continues to be a challenge for both full-time and part-time opportunities. Have implemented a wide variety of recruiting techniques and suppliers to aid us in sourcing this hard-to-find talent.” (Paper Products)
• “Orders are coming in, but from a limited number of customers. The future looks very promising.” (Primary Metals)

MANUFACTURING AT A GLANCE September 2018
Index	Series Index Sep	Series Index Aug	Percentage Point Change	Direction	Rate of Change	Trend* (Months)
PMI®	59.8	61.3	-1.5	Growing	Slower	25
New Orders	61.8	65.1	-3.3	Growing	Slower	33
Production	63.9	63.3	+0.6	Growing	Faster	25
Employment	58.8	58.5	+0.3	Growing	Faster	24
Supplier Deliveries	61.1	64.5	-3.4	Slowing	Slower	24
Inventories	53.3	55.4	-2.1	Growing	Slower	9
Customers’ Inventories	40.5	41.0	-0.5	Too Low	Faster	24
Prices	66.9	72.1	-5.2	Increasing	Slower	31
Backlog of Orders	55.7	57.5	-1.8	Growing	Slower	20
New Export Orders	56.0	55.2	+0.8	Growing	Faster	31
Imports	54.5	53.9	+0.6	Growing	Faster	20
OVERALL ECONOMY	Growing	Slower	113
Manufacturing Sector	Growing	Slower	25

Manufacturing ISM^® Report On Business^® data is seasonally adjusted for the New Orders, Production, Employment and Supplier Deliveries Indexes.
*Number of months moving in current direction.

COMMODITIES REPORTED UP/DOWN IN PRICE AND IN SHORT SUPPLY

Commodities Up in Price
Aluminum (23); Aluminum Based Products (5); Corrugate (24); Electrical Components (2); Electronic Components (2); Freight (8); Hydrochloric Acid; Lumber (3); Nylon (4); Paper (5); Steel*; Steel — Stainless (6); Steel Based Products (5); and Sulfuric Acid.

Commodities Down in Price
Brass; Copper (3); Steel*; and Steel — Hot Rolled.

Commodities in Short Supply
Capacitors (15); Electronic Components (5); Freight (5); Labor (2); Nylon; Resistors (11); and Sulfuric Acid.

The number of consecutive months the commodity is listed is indicated after each item.
*Indicates both up and down in price.

SEPTEMBER 2018 MANUFACTURING INDEX SUMMARIES

PMI^®
Manufacturing expanded in September as the PMI^® registered 59.8 percent, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points from the August reading of 61.3 percent. “This indicates strong growth in manufacturing for the 25th consecutive month, led by strong production output, continued strength in new orders, and improvements in supply chain delivery performance, and better utilization of existing inventory accounts,” says Fiore. A reading above 50 percent indicates that the manufacturing economy is generally expanding; below 50 percent indicates that it is generally contracting.

A PMI^® above 43.2 percent, over a period of time, generally indicates an expansion of the overall economy. Therefore, the September PMI^® indicates growth for the 113th consecutive month in the overall economy and the 25th straight month of growth in the manufacturing sector. “The past relationship between the PMI^® and the overall economy indicates that the PMI^® for September (59.8 percent) corresponds to a 5.1-percent increase in real gross domestic product (GDP) on an annualized basis.”

THE LAST 12 MONTHS

Month	PMI®		Month	PMI®
Sep 2018	59.8		Mar 2018	59.3
Aug 2018	61.3		Feb 2018	60.8
Jul 2018	58.1		Jan 2018	59.1
Jun 2018	60.2		Dec 2017	59.3
May 2018	58.7		Nov 2017	58.2
Apr 2018	57.3		Oct 2017	58.5
Average for 12 months – 59.2 High – 61.3 Low – 57.3

New Orders
ISM^®‘s New Orders Index registered 61.8 percent in September, which is a decrease of 3.3 percentage points when compared to the 65.1 percent reported for August, indicating growth in new orders for the 33rd consecutive month. “Customer demand expansion softened slightly this month but continued to expand at high levels, with the index at or above 60 percent for the 17th straight month,” says Fiore. A New Orders Index above 52.4 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Census Bureau’s series on manufacturing orders (in constant 2000 dollars).

Twelve of 18 industries reported growth in new orders in September, in the following order: Textile Mills; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Chemical Products; Paper Products; Machinery; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Furniture & Related Products; and Transportation Equipment. The three industries reporting a decrease in new orders in September are: Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Primary Metals; and Fabricated Metal Products.

New Orders	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	31.4	57.7	10.9	+20.5	61.8
Aug 2018	35.4	54.3	10.3	+25.1	65.1
Jul 2018	29.0	60.1	10.9	+18.1	60.2
Jun 2018	39.7	53.0	7.3	+32.5	63.5

Production
ISM^®‘s Production Index registered 63.9 percent in September, which is an increase of 0.6 percentage point when compared to the 63.3 percent reported for August, indicating growth in production for the 25th consecutive month. “Production expansion continued in September, surpassing August expansion and resulting in the strongest gains since January 2018, when the index registered 64.5. Labor constraints throughout the supply chain, impacts due to lead-time expansions and transportation difficulties continue to limit full production potential,” says Fiore. An index above 51.5 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Federal Reserve Board’s Industrial Production figures.

The 14 industries reporting growth in production during the month of September — listed in order — are: Printing & Related Support Activities; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Textile Mills; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Machinery; Chemical Products; Furniture & Related Products; Paper Products; Fabricated Metal Products; and Transportation Equipment. No industry reported a decrease in production in September.

Production	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	33.6	56.7	9.6	+24.0	63.9
Aug 2018	35.3	53.8	10.9	+24.4	63.3
Jul 2018	31.5	52.6	15.9	+15.6	58.5
Jun 2018	38.7	51.0	10.3	+28.4	62.3

Employment
ISM^®‘s Employment Index registered 58.8 percent in September, an increase of 0.3 percentage point when compared to the August reading of 58.5 percent. This indicates growth in employment in September for the 24th consecutive month. “Employment continued to expand, supporting production growth. The index achieved its highest level since February 2018, when it registered 59.7. Respondents continued to note labor-market issues as a constraint to their production and, more significantly, their suppliers’ production capability,” says Fiore. An Employment Index above 50.8 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data on manufacturing employment.

Of the 18 manufacturing industries, the 12 reporting employment growth in September — listed in order — are: Textile Mills; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Petroleum & Coal Products; Paper Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Machinery; Transportation Equipment; Fabricated Metal Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; and Chemical Products. The three industries reporting a decrease in employment in September are: Printing & Related Support Activities; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; and Furniture & Related Products.

Employment	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	26.1	62.9	11.0	+15.1	58.8
Aug 2018	26.6	63.6	9.8	+16.8	58.5
Jul 2018	27.1	61.2	11.7	+15.4	56.5
Jun 2018	29.0	59.6	11.3	+17.7	56.0

Supplier Deliveries
The delivery performance of suppliers to manufacturing organizations slowed in September, as the Supplier Deliveries Index registered 61.1 percent. This is 3.4 percentage points lower than the 64.5 percent reported for August. “This is the 24th straight month of slowing supplier deliveries and indicates the supply chain’s difficulty in keeping up with new order and production demand. Lead times continue to extend, supply chain labor issues continue to restrict performance, and transportation issues are limiting supplier execution,” says Fiore. A reading below 50 percent indicates faster deliveries, while a reading above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries.

The 13 industries reporting slower supplier deliveries in September — listed in order — are: Textile Mills; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Fabricated Metal Products; Furniture & Related Products; Machinery; Computer & Electronic Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Plastics & Rubber Products; Paper Products; Chemical Products; and Transportation Equipment. No manufacturing industries reported faster supplier deliveries during the month of September.

Supplier Deliveries	%Slower	%Same	%Faster	Net	Index
Sep 2018	28.3	67.1	4.6	+23.7	61.1
Aug 2018	32.6	62.9	4.5	+28.1	64.5
Jul 2018	28.5	67.8	3.7	+24.8	62.1
Jun 2018	38.7	58.9	2.4	+36.3	68.2

Inventories*
The Inventories Index registered 53.3 percent in September, which is a decrease of 2.1 percentage points when compared to the 55.4 percent reported for August. “Inventories continued to expand for the ninth consecutive month. Supplier deliveries improved compared to the previous month, but inventories declined as a result of strong production output,” says Fiore. An Inventories Index greater than 43 percent, over time, is generally consistent with expansion in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) figures on overall manufacturing inventories (in chained 2000 dollars).

The 11 industries reporting higher inventories in September — listed in order — are: Textile Mills; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Plastics & Rubber Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Transportation Equipment; Primary Metals; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; and Machinery. The three industries reporting a decrease in inventories in September are: Printing & Related Support Activities; Fabricated Metal Products; and Furniture & Related Products.

Inventories	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	20.6	65.4	14.0	+6.6	53.3
Aug 2018	25.2	60.4	14.5	+10.7	55.4
Jul 2018	22.3	61.9	15.8	+6.5	53.3
Jun 2018	20.7	60.2	19.1	+1.6	50.8

Customers’ Inventories*
ISM^®‘s Customers’ Inventories Index registered 40.5 percent in September, which is 0.5 percentage point lower than the 41 percent reported for August, indicating that customers’ inventory levels were considered too low. “Customers’ inventory levels are too low for the 24th consecutive month, which continue to represent notable unmet demand in the near term,” says Fiore.

The only manufacturing industry that reported customers’ inventories as too high during the month of September is Transportation Equipment. The nine industries reporting customers’ inventories as too low during September — listed in order — are: Plastics & Rubber Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Paper Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Machinery; Chemical Products; and Miscellaneous Manufacturing. Six industries reported no change in customers’ inventories in September as compared with August.

Customers’ Inventories	% Reporting	%Too High	%About Right	%Too Low	Net	Index
Sep 2018	79	6.0	69.0	25.0	-19.0	40.5
Aug 2018	82	7.8	66.5	25.7	-17.9	41.0
Jul 2018	79	4.8	69.2	26.0	-21.2	39.4
Jun 2018	79	5.3	68.9	25.8	-20.6	39.7

Prices*
The ISM^® Prices Index registered 66.9 percent in September, a decrease of 5.2 percentage points from the August reading of 72.1 percent, indicating an increase in raw materials prices for the 31st consecutive month. In September, 42.3 percent of respondents reported paying higher prices, 8.6 percent reported paying lower prices, and 49.1 percent of supply executives reported paying the same prices as in August. “The price increases across all industry sectors continue, but at lower expansion levels. The Business Survey Committee noted price increases softening in metals (all steels, steel components and aluminum). However, increases continue in various chemicals, corrugate and packaging products, freight, labor, electrical and electronic components, products manufactured primarily from steel, and paper products. Shortages continue in electrical and electronic components, labor, and freight. The index eased to its lowest expansion level since November 2017, when it registered 64.8 percent,” says Fiore. A Prices Index above 52.4 percent, over time, is generally consistent with an increase in the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Producer Price Index for Intermediate Materials.

Fifteen of the 18 industries reported paying increased prices for raw materials in September, in the following order: Textile Mills; Printing & Related Support Activities; Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Paper Products; Chemical Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Machinery; Furniture & Related Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Transportation Equipment; Plastics & Rubber Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; and Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components. The two industries reporting a decrease in prices in September are: Primary Metals; and Fabricated Metal Products.

Prices	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	42.3	49.1	8.6	+33.7	66.9
Aug 2018	51.1	42.0	6.8	+44.3	72.1
Jul 2018	54.6	37.3	8.1	+46.5	73.2
Jun 2018	56.9	39.9	3.3	+53.6	76.8

Backlog of Orders*
ISM^®‘s Backlog of Orders Index registered 55.7 percent in September, which is 1.8 percentage points lower than the 57.5 percent reported in August, indicating growth in order backlogs for the 20th consecutive month. “Backlogs continued to grow, but at slightly lower levels compared to August. Continued low levels of customer inventory and strong new order expansion continue to support production requirements in the near term,” says Fiore.

The 11 industries reporting growth in order backlogs in September — listed in order — are: Textile Mills; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Printing & Related Support Activities; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer & Electronic Products; Chemical Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; Machinery; and Transportation Equipment. The five industries reporting a decrease in order backlogs during September are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Primary Metals; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Fabricated Metal Products; and Furniture & Related Products.

Backlog of Orders	% Reporting	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	89	26.7	57.9	15.4	+11.3	55.7
Aug 2018	87	30.3	54.4	15.3	+15.0	57.5
Jul 2018	87	24.0	61.3	14.7	+9.3	54.7
Jun 2018	90	32.8	54.6	12.6	+20.2	60.1

New Export Orders*
ISM^®‘s New Export Orders Index registered 56 percent in September, an increase of 0.8 percentage point when compared to the 55.2 percent reported for August, indicating growth in new export orders for 31 consecutive months. “Export Index remains strong, but only two of the six big industry sectors contributed during the period, down two from the previous month,” says Fiore.

The five industries reporting growth in new export orders in September are: Petroleum & Coal Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; Chemical Products; and Computer & Electronic Products. The three industries reporting a decrease in new export orders in September are: Primary Metals; Plastics & Rubber Products; and Transportation Equipment. Ten industries reported no change in new export orders in September.

New Export Orders	% Reporting	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	80	19.4	73.3	7.3	+12.1	56.0
Aug 2018	79	20.7	69.1	10.2	+10.5	55.2
Jul 2018	78	18.1	74.3	7.6	+10.5	55.3
Jun 2018	79	15.8	81.1	3.1	+12.6	56.3

Imports*
ISM^®‘s Imports Index registered 54.5 percent in September, an increase of 0.6 percentage point when compared to the 53.9 percent reported for August, indicating that imports grew in September for the 20th consecutive month. “Imports continued to expand, but at 2.7 points lower than Q2 average levels,” says Fiore.

The nine industries reporting growth in imports during the month of September — listed in order — are: Apparel, Leather & Allied Products; Miscellaneous Manufacturing; Plastics & Rubber Products; Computer  & Electronic Products; Food, Beverage & Tobacco Products; Furniture & Related Products; Petroleum & Coal Products; Nonmetallic Mineral Products; and Chemical Products. The four industries reporting a decrease in imports during September are: Primary Metals; Paper Products; Electrical Equipment, Appliances & Components; and Fabricated Metal Products.

Imports	% Reporting	%Higher	%Same	%Lower	Net	Index
Sep 2018	85	19.4	70.2	10.4	+9.0	54.5
Aug 2018	87	17.2	73.6	9.3	+7.9	53.9
Jul 2018	82	19.4	70.6	10.0	+9.4	54.7
Jun 2018	85	24.3	69.3	6.4	+17.9	59.0

*The Inventories, Customers’ Inventories, Prices, Backlog of Orders, New Export Orders and Imports Indexes do not meet the accepted criteria for seasonal adjustments.

Buying Policy
Average commitment lead time for Capital Expenditures increased by three days in September to 147 days. Average lead time for Production Materials decreased by one day to 68 days. Average lead time for Maintenance, Repair and Operating (MRO) Supplies increased by one day to 34 days.

Percent Reporting
Capital Expenditures	Hand-to- Mouth	30 Days	60 Days	90 Days	6 Months	1 Year+	Average Days
Sep 2018	19	7	10	19	23	22	147
Aug 2018	19	8	7	22	23	21	144
Jul 2018	23	7	9	15	28	18	137
Jun 2018	21	7	9	17	26	20	143
Production Materials	Hand-to- Mouth	30 Days	60 Days	90 Days	6 Months	1 Year+	Average Days
Sep 2018	12	34	28	15	7	4	68
Aug 2018	11	36	27	14	8	4	69
Jul 2018	11	37	23	18	7	4	69
Jun 2018	11	33	29	16	7	4	69
MRO Supplies	Hand-to- Mouth	30 Days	60 Days	90 Days	6 Months	1 Year+	Average Days
Sep 2018	38	36	16	7	3	0	34
Aug 2018	41	37	15	4	2	1	33
Jul 2018	37	41	13	6	2	1	35
Jun 2018	36	43	14	5	2	0	31

Taliban chief Sher Mohammad Abbas Stanikzai and US Special Representative for Afghanistan Reconciliation Zalmay Khalilzad

War-torn Afghanistan has not seen any peace since the 1970s, and the US involvement in the Afghanistan quagmire is in its 18th year, but there is growing momentum towards a peace deal.

The current negotiations in Doha between the Taliban and the US are the longest ever between the two sides and the optimism is very strong on both sides about the opportunity to reach a deal.

The Afghan Herald reported that a breakthrough has been made regarding issues such as the withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan, a ceasefire, the agreement that Afghanistan will not be used to attack or harm any other country and prisoner releases. On matters like the ceasefire, negotiations must also involve the Government in Kabul. The US negotiators have kept the Afghan government completely up to date and Kabul has not shown any objections to the peace negotiations and, especially in an election year, it is highly unlikely they would resist efforts to finally bring peace to a long-suffering Afghanistan.

Rahimullah Yusufzai, an expert on the Taliban, said the continuation of the talks represented “unprecedented” progress.

“I have never seen anything like this before,” he said. “This is the first serious effort. And it has continued since July… they have agreed to disagree and continued to meet. That’s why it’s unprecedented.”

At the end of the day Thursday the US and the Taliban are expected to finalize an agreement and issue a joint statement.

FOX News Channel (FNC) will present a one-hour special entitled Modern Warriors: A Veterans Day Special on Sunday, November 11^th at 8 PM/ET.

“Does it get different the 400th time than the first time,” Pete asks. “It does, but it shouldn’t because complacency kills,” former Navy SEAL Rob O’Neill responds.

“If you do something right 400 times, that 401st time is going to get you,” he added.

Hosted by FOX & Friends Weekend co-host Pete Hegseth, the program will feature honorable veterans who will share their war stories, thoughts on today’s military, the reason why they served and what Veterans Day means to them. These honorable veterans include:

• Rob O’Neill, the Former Navy SEAL who killed Osama bin Laden
• Former Navy SEAL Marcus Luttrell
• Medal of Honor Recipient Dakota Meyer
• Retired U.S. Army Ranger Sean Parnell

Hegseth asks deep questions in this beer summit of top-line vets, and they provide revealing answers about their experiences, both good and bad.

Current promotional codes from Amazon as of May 16, 2018 (some expire at the end of may, others in June or later)

• $25.00 off ELO Black Die-Cast Aluminum Kitchen Cookware Pots and Pans Set with Durable Non-Stick Coating and Oven Mitts, 9-Piece
• 20% off Waffle Cone and Bowl Maker- Homemade Ice Cream Wafflecones in Minutes – Includes Roller and Bowl Press- Great Mothers Day Gift
• 10% off this already discounted Savvy Girl Picnic Backpack for 4 with Premium Stainless Steel Tableware – Complete 4 Person Picnic Basket Set w/Blanket, Insulated Food Cooler Bag, Wine Opener, Cheese Board, Napkins & More
• 15% off NIX Lux 8 Inch Digital Photo & HD Video Frame (Non-WiFi), With Hu Motion Sensor (metal or wood finish)
• 35% off AMMEX – GWDIYLXL – Latex and Nitrile Gloves – Glovework – 8 pairs/box; 20 boxes/case, all sizes (Case of 160 Pairs)
• $20 off Cooler Master MasterLiquid ML240R Addressable RGB All-in-one CPU Liquid Cooler Dual Chamber INTEL/AMD Support Cooling
• $30 off Eureka NEC122A Power Plush Cordless 2-in-1 Stick Vacuum, Rechargeable Lithium-Ion Battery with Wall Mount, Grey on Blue Violet
• 15% off COSORI 6 Qt Premium 8-in-1 Programmable Multi-Cooker (Pressure Cooker, Rice Cooker, Steamer, Warmer, Etc.), 1000W, Includes Glass Lid, Sealing Ring, and Recipe Book
• $13.37 off Eureka AirSpeed All Floors Bagless Pet Upright Vacuum Cleaner, AS3011AA
• 10% off Tuxton Home THBCZ3-SS9-G Chef Series Sous Vide Pot Specialty Stockpot, 9.8 quart, Stainless steel
• 25% off Castrol 06116 POWER1 V-TWIN 4T 20W-50 Synthetic Motorcycle Oil, 1 Quart Bottle, 6 Pack
• 20% off outdoor patio furniture from Oakland Living

Other great deals from Amazon

French Socialist President Francois Hollande’s newly elected government is planning to raise taxes on big companies while deterring businesses from engaging in layoffs by making that process more costly.

Hoping to nudge companies into investing rather than paying profits to shareholders, the government plans to impose a new 3% tax on dividends. Other plans include raising levies on capital gains, a special tax on banks and on energy companies, as well as imposition of government policies requiring the sale of profitable businesses in lieu of closure.

France’s Socialist government will dictate that it is illegal for a profitable, privately owned business to close its own doors.

So much for having the French people engaged in business activity. This less business-friendly government is going about the business of smothering France’s economy.

The prospects of trying to do business in France’s new economic environment resulted in margins tumbling, cash flow dwindling and orders collapsing. The uncertain outlook has postponed or cancelled investment and hiring.

Medef President Laurence Parisot told a news conference “The first source of financing for companies’ projects comes from private investors. Increasing tax on dividends runs the risk that private investors either invest less or elsewhere. We’ve had many meetings with the staff in ministries to explain what’s happening, but we are becoming deeply distressed. We fear a systematic strangling. Let’s be careful not to transform our country into a super-rigid enclave completely out of touch with the functioning of market economies as found everywhere else.” Parisot said.

Statistical data from the INSEE agency shows that business confidence fell in June to the lowest level since 2009, when France’s economy first showed signs of emerging from the nation’s worst post-war recession.

Hollande was elected last month after pledging to fight unemployment and revive growth. What he and his government are planning is not the way to go about achieving those goals. Attempting to resolve an economic dilemma that nanny state entitlement spending caused by destroying the tax base through imposition of business strangling regulations and taxes, while increasing the amount of spending done on entitlement programs is like trying to get a drunk sober by giving him a case of champagne. It’s going to have an effect opposite to the one desired. It is only going to make matters worse.

The way to balance a government budget is to stimulate private sector economic growth. That is what creates the tax base required to fund the government. Making it more difficult and more expensive to conduct business in the private sector is counter-productive to balancing any government budget.

By following economic policies similar to those Hollande plans for France, the United States is currently experiencing 1.8% economic growth. At this same point in President Ronald Reagan’s first term in office, his economic policies had stimulated the private sector U.S. economy to a 7.2% growth rate.

Can you say duh?

Both America and France could learn a thing or two from the economic policies of Ronald Reagan. In the case of the current White House occupant, that does not include hollow, unfounded, meaningless claims that you are much like President Reagan. It makes no difference whether those claims are made by you or your eager, obedient lapdogs in the institutionalized “progressive” left’s smear machine, referred to by your dumbed down, ill informed “progressive” congregation as the mainstream media.

France has the second biggest economy in the European Union. If this is the best the French can come up with, it is time to bid adieu to France and to European Union stability.

http://mjfellright.wordpress.com/2012/06/19/adieu-france-so-long-stability/

Here’s a picture for you: you’re sitting in front of your new Mercedes, staring at a broken windscreen that seems to have appeared there overnight. Was it there before? Did someone threw a rock at it while you left it parked there? It doesn’t really matter anymore; all you know is that it’s going to cost you a fair amount of money to fix it.

This might, however, be fairly problematic if you don’t have the resources to pay for it. You know that the bank may not give you a loan on such a short notice, particularly if your credit score is down the drain. This means that your only option is a no credit check loan.

Still, before applying for no credit check loans, you need to keep several things in mind.

1. Steer Clear from Payday and Title Loans

If you have bad credit, chances are that you are already struggling with your payments – and you don’t have a lot of money to begin with. For this reason, you should steer as clearly as possible from payday loans – mainly because they are very expensive.

Both payday loans and title loans have very high interest rates and are expected to be paid back over a short term. Most lenders ask you to pay it into just one slump – making it very difficult on the borrower. Sure, they don’t check your credit – but it will burn you in the long run.

1. Make Sure They Check Your Ability to Pay

They might not care about your credit; it’s all in the past, you can be a different person now. Still, they do have to check your ability to pay back what you borrowed. After all, they made an investment in you – and if they don’t check on you, it means that they are counting on you defaulting. This way, it can become very profitable to the lender.

1. Make Sure They do Soft Credit Inquiries

Not all credit checks are bad; a soft credit in will only give general information on you – and most importantly, will not appear on your credit report. A soft inquiry is most of the times good, because they’re checking whether or not you can pay the loan.

1. Defaulting Will Still Hurt Your Credit

The initial credit check will not appear on your credit report – but that doesn’t mean you are in the clear. If you default on a no credit check loan, the collectors are very likely to report your mistake to your credit bureau – therefore putting another black spot on your credit.

1. Consider Your Option

Don’t stay with the first option you get; instead, try shopping around for options. Every lender will see you as a different risk level – and will provide you different rates. Stack up some offers and choose the one with the lowest rate possible.

No credit check loans are not the end of the world. You just need to know how to pick them in order to make it work for you.